Forecasts of Disaster in Pakistan

Gwynne Dyer
Published: Wednesday, 08/08/2007 12:00 am EDT

"There's going to be a civil war." You heard it all the time in the old Soviet Union at the end of the 1980s. People fretted about it constantly in South Africa in 1994. They have been worrying about it in Lebanon for the past year. Now they're predicting it for Pakistan–but nine times out of 10, the forecast is false.

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